Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.213372 0.228058 0.243516 0.261044 0.280424 0.301259 0.325437
2025-05-04 0.187553 0.210082 0.235459 0.266413 0.303497 0.346947 0.402388
2025-05-11 0.167333 0.193832 0.225195 0.265624 0.317222 0.382122 0.472035
2025-05-18 0.151938 0.180517 0.215648 0.262949 0.326508 0.411377 0.537809
2025-05-25 0.138571 0.167862 0.204939 0.256612 0.329008 0.430641 0.591913
2025-06-01 0.128775 0.158610 0.197344 0.252989 0.333938 0.452956 0.653567
2025-06-08 0.120924 0.151106 0.191172 0.250305 0.339315 0.475938 0.719979
2025-06-15 0.116337 0.147501 0.189812 0.254018 0.354188 0.515214 0.822002
2025-06-22 0.109346 0.140066 0.182443 0.248049 0.353118 0.527956 0.878049
2025-06-29 0.102147 0.131881 0.173408 0.238712 0.345490 0.528185 0.909349
2025-07-06 0.096132 0.125027 0.165850 0.230997 0.339635 0.530567 0.945369
2025-07-13 0.093803 0.123288 0.165643 0.234698 0.353255 0.570195 1.071954
2025-07-20 0.091800 0.121998 0.166147 0.239799 0.370321 0.620138 1.241306
2025-07-27 0.088816 0.119127 0.164100 0.240602 0.379931 0.657384 1.394525
2025-08-03 0.085450 0.115505 0.160659 0.238757 0.384397 0.684746 1.532513
2025-08-10 0.082177 0.111855 0.156945 0.236117 0.386995 0.708480 1.670436
2025-08-17 0.078533 0.107467 0.151806 0.230576 0.383263 0.717176 1.765249
2025-08-24 0.075654 0.104128 0.148174 0.227435 0.383992 0.736526 1.905890
2025-08-31 0.073146 0.101252 0.145136 0.225118 0.386125 0.759673 2.073007
2025-09-07 0.071886 0.100265 0.145127 0.228308 0.400122 0.815591 2.403952
2025-09-14 0.069141 0.096810 0.140829 0.223175 0.395565 0.821685 2.527526
2025-09-21 0.066016 0.092645 0.135168 0.215132 0.383880 0.806527 2.546787
2025-09-28 0.063304 0.089060 0.130359 0.208471 0.374773 0.797448 2.594203